Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.204098 3.580824 3.988752 4.464035 5.003528 5.597951 6.303974
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.666272 3.169661 3.753511 4.483603 5.376132 6.436766 7.800101
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.367624 2.948837 3.659030 4.596763 5.811382 7.343657 9.442245
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.121522 2.742894 3.534755 4.627720 6.112465 8.081087 10.925501
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.930696 2.576713 3.430062 4.653753 6.386347 8.786129 12.422082
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.774521 2.435208 3.335968 4.672205 6.635563 9.464270 13.939577
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.605927 2.257511 3.170530 4.565621 6.683263 9.842528 15.037643
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.486795 2.137426 3.072750 4.542250 6.842609 10.390424 16.445017
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.377953 2.021869 2.969472 4.496862 6.956972 10.870425 17.785681
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.338143 2.005166 3.010760 4.675222 7.436996 11.975365 20.295763
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.260576 1.923656 2.944501 4.673843 7.619183 12.600159 22.036464
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.183983 1.837458 2.863264 4.638941 7.738016 13.122494 23.645187
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.067853 1.681767 2.662004 4.391298 7.475224 12.963342 23.990245
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.012888 1.621906 2.613227 4.400206 7.666492 13.641271 26.036960
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.981110 1.597870 2.621767 4.508856 8.047049 14.706875 28.994945
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.938187 1.551662 2.588541 4.538709 8.281713 15.515611 31.527085
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.898093 1.507356 2.554954 4.564092 8.508407 16.329403 34.176305
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.860053 1.463926 2.519464 4.582128 8.720815 17.133933 36.912027
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.806985 1.390247 2.424269 4.477833 8.676858 17.399465 38.446516
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.769695 1.342628 2.373316 4.454962 8.796163 18.021085 40.900020
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.732242 1.292369 2.314030 4.410548 8.865456 18.539266 43.172439
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.725494 1.298633 2.361550 4.585076 9.418492 20.195011 48.537912
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.697242 1.262519 2.325225 4.583726 9.586141 20.986320 51.789506